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How Do AI ETFs Capture the AI Megatrend?

Published on: 2025-10-22

AI exchange-traded funds (AI ETFs) provide diversified exposure to companies that develop, enable, or apply artificial intelligence, offering investors an efficient way to participate in the AI megatrend.


However, careful selection is necessary due to concentration, valuation, and thematic-drift risks.


Below, the article will unpack what AI ETFs are, how they are constructed, leading funds and comparison metrics, the principal risks, and practical implementation strategies for investors.


Why AI is an investible theme

How Do AI ETFs Capture the AI Megatrend

1. Structural drivers

  • Exponential growth in data creation and storage requirements.

  • Rising demand for high-performance compute, including GPUs and specialised accelerators, to train and deploy large AI models.

  • Enterprise adoption of AI tools across productivity, automation, healthcare, manufacturing, and finance.


2. Thematic appeal

  • Investors view AI as a long-duration technological platform, comparable to the internet or cloud computing waves.
    Thematic ETFs aim to capture the broader ecosystem rather than individual companies.


3. Flows and investor interest

  • Since 2023. AI-thematic ETFs have been among the largest recipients of thematic fund inflows in US and European markets, reflecting strong investor demand for AI exposure.


The AI-ETF landscape: classification and representative funds


1. Classification of AI ETFs

1) Pure-play AI ETFs: 

Target companies primarily engaged in AI research, products, and services.


2) Broader tech/AI hybrid ETFs: 

Include AI-focused firms within a wider technology index.


3) Robotics & automation ETFs with AI exposure: 

Focus on robotics and automation while integrating AI as a core element.


4) Active AI ETFs: 

Manager-run ETFs selecting AI leaders based on fundamental research.


Representative AI ETF
Ticker Fund name Focus / Index Net assets (approx.) Expense ratio
AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF Indxx Artificial Intelligence & Big Data Index, broad AI and data exposure ~$6.6bn 0.68%
BOTZ Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF Indxx Global Robotics & AI Thematic Index, robotics and AI industrial focus ~$3.1bn 0.68%
ARTY iShares Future AI & Tech ETF Morningstar Global Artificial Intelligence Select Index, broad AI and future tech ~$1.9bn 0.47%
IVES Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF Analyst-curated list focused on leading AI beneficiaries Launch flows; expense ~0.75% 0.75%


Notes: 

Net asset values fluctuate daily; figures are rounded and representative as of October 2025. Expense ratios and index descriptions are fund-reported. Refer to issuer pages for the latest fund sheets.


How AI ETFs are constructed

How AI ETFs are constructed

1. Index methodology

  • Many AI ETFs track specialist indices screening companies by AI-related revenue, product activity (chips, cloud, AI software), or R&D intensity.

    Proprietary indices from providers like Indxx and Morningstar are common.


2. Typical sector and market-cap composition

  • High allocation to Information Technology, significant exposure to large-cap software and semiconductor firms, smaller allocations to industrials and discretionary sectors.


3. Concentration and overlap

  • Many ETFs labelled as AI have top holdings similar to large technology leaders, increasing correlation with broad tech indices and reducing incremental diversification.


4. Turnover and tracking

  • Thematic ETFs often have higher turnover than broad passive funds due to rebalancing based on the evolving theme, which can affect tax efficiency and transaction costs.


The investment case for AI ETFs


1. Reasons to consider AI ETFs

  • Diversified exposure to the AI ecosystem with a single trade.

  • Access to niche mid-cap companies and non-US firms that are difficult for individual investors to assemble.

  • Professional index construction or active management that screens for AI relevance.


2. Portfolio integration

  • As a satellite allocation within a growth sleeve; advisors often recommend single-digit allocations (2–10%) rather than using AI ETFs as a core holding.


3. Time horizon

AI is a multi-year structural theme; a horizon of 5+ years is recommended to navigate volatility and product cycles.


Principal risks and mitigants


1. Principal risks

  1. Valuation risk:
    Many AI companies trade at elevated multiples reflecting high growth expectations.

  2. Concentration risk:
    Funds may be heavily weighted in a few mega-caps.

  3. Thematic drift:
    Index rules may change, broadening fund exposure beyond AI.

  4. Regulatory/geopolitical risk:
    Export controls, privacy rules, and AI governance proposals can affect parts of the AI value chain.

  5. Technology obsolescence:
    Rapid innovation can displace current leaders.


2. Mitigants

  • Select funds with transparent methodology and broad diversification.

  • Limit portfolio allocation sizes and rebalance regularly.

  • Consider combining passive AI ETFs with active funds to capture unique opportunities while managing concentration.


Evaluating and selecting an AI ETF: practical checklist


Criteria to consider:

  1. Expense ratio:
    Lower is generally preferable, but weigh against index quality and active management.

  2. AUM and liquidity:
    Sufficient AUM and daily volume reduce tracking error and bid-ask costs.

  3. Holdings and concentration:
    Number of holdings, top-10 weight, sector breakdown.

  4. Index methodology:
    Does it capture true AI exposure? Are inclusion/exclusion rules transparent?

  5. Performance metrics:
    Multi-period returns, volatility, beta vs. benchmark.

  6. Domicile/tax considerations:
    US vs UCITS or local listings.

  7. Manager reputation:
    Experience with thematic ETFs and operational robustness.

  8. Additional costs:
    Bid-ask spread, tracking difference, tax inefficiencies.


Key Metrics for Evaluating AI ETFs
Criterion Why it matters Good threshold
Expense ratio Reduces returns <0.6% preferred for passive; <0.8% reasonable for niche themes
AUM Liquidity and fund longevity >$500m considered healthier; >$1bn preferred
Top-10 weight Concentration risk <50% preferable
Turnover Trading costs, tax drag Lower turnover is better
Index transparency Understand holdings Clear methodology publicly available


Strategic implementation and portfolio sizing

Strategic implementation and portfolio sizing

1. Allocation guidance

  • Conservative: 0–3% in high-growth satellite allocation

  • Balanced growth: 3–7%

  • Aggressive growth: 7–15% for high volatility tolerance


2. Tactical vs strategic

  • Strategic: Buy and hold with periodic review

  • Tactical: Use dollar-cost averaging to avoid poor timing during high valuations


3. Rebalancing rules

  • Rebalance when allocations drift beyond chosen thresholds (e.g., ±25%)

  • Use rebalancing to trim gains and manage risk


4. Geographic and tax considerations

  • Non-US investors should consider domicile differences: US ETFs may have different tax reporting and withholding implications compared with UCITS or local ETFs.



Case studies and recent trends


1. Performance snapshot

  • Several AI-thematic ETFs outperformed many thematic funds in the past 18–36 months, driven by returns from chipmakers and cloud incumbents.


2.New entrants and active products

  • New launches, including analyst-branded ETFs, expand choice but require careful due diligence.


3. Investor flows

  • AI ETFs have experienced strong thematic inflows, highlighting sustained investor interest.


AI ETF Outlook


1. Short to medium-term catalysts

  • Increases in enterprise AI adoption and deployment of large language models

  • New chip architectures and supply-chain developments


2. Regulatory developments

  • AI governance frameworks, export controls, and data privacy rules may affect certain segments


3. Valuation and breadth

  • Monitor whether returns concentrate among few leaders or the theme broadens to mid-cap beneficiaries, influencing which ETFs perform best


Practical next steps for an investor

  1. Define your objective: growth, diversification, or concentrated thematic exposure

  2. Use the checklist in Section 7 to shortlist ETFs

  3. Review issuer fact sheets and holdings

  4. Decide allocation and approach: lump-sum or phased purchases

  5. Implement risk controls: position size limits, rebalancing, and periodic reassessment


Frequently Asked Questions


Q1: What is an AI ETF?

An exchange-traded fund providing exposure to companies involved in AI, from chips and infrastructure to AI software and applications.


Q2: Which metrics matter most?

Expense ratio, AUM/liquidity, index methodology, holdings concentration, and domicile/tax implications.


Q3: Are AI ETFs risky?

Yes, they carry valuation, concentration, and thematic risks. Treat them as satellite allocations.


Q4: How much of my portfolio should be in AI ETFs?

Typically 1–3% for tactical positions or up to ~10% for aggressive investors.


Q5: Do AI ETFs only hold US companies?

No, many include global holdings. Check the regional breakdown in the fund factsheet.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.