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Indonesia's Manufacturing Fell to 19% of GDP. Its Middle Class Shrank With It.
Indonesia's Manufacturing Fell to 19% of GDP. Its Middle Class Shrank With It.
2026-06-30
Indonesia’s middle class fell to 47.9 million as manufacturing dropped to 19% of GDP. Downstreaming generates one job per $262,000 invested.
The G7 Can Mine Rare Earths, But 85% of the Supply Chain Disappears Before Magnets
The G7 Can Mine Rare Earths, But 85% of the Supply Chain Disappears Before Magnets
2026-06-29
G7 rare earths face an 85% supply-chain drop before magnets, exposing the real bottleneck in refining, alloying and magnet-making.
The Iran War Drained the World's Oil Reserves to a 40-Year Low
The Iran War Drained the World's Oil Reserves to a 40-Year Low
2026-06-29
IEA oil reserves fell from 4.1 billion barrels in 2004 to 1.8 billion by 2026. Refilling the drained buffer is a three-year claim on supply.
Why Is Silver Price Dropping While Its Deficit Hit a Record
Why Is Silver Price Dropping While Its Deficit Hit a Record
2026-06-26
Silver fell near $56, about 47% below its $121 January high, even as the 2026 supply deficit widened to a sixth year, 46.3M ounces.
U.S. Core PCE Price Index May 2026 - Previous: 3.3% Forecast: 3.4%
U.S. Core PCE Price Index May 2026 - Previous: 3.3% Forecast: 3.4%
2026-06-25
US May core PCE rose 3.3% YoY in line with forecasts. Inflation shows signs of easing, while real income fell for a third month and savings hit a four-year low.
Gold & Tech Have a Bond Market Problem
Gold & Tech Have a Bond Market Problem
2026-06-24
Real yields are testing gold and large-cap tech differently, as gold relies on demand support while tech depends on earnings and AI spending to hold up.
Lithium’s 84% Crash Erased the Mine Pipeline the Energy Transition Depends On
Lithium’s 84% Crash Erased the Mine Pipeline the Energy Transition Depends On
2026-06-22
Lithium prices fell 84%, eliminating mine investment. Wood Mackenzie forecasts a supply deficit by 2028, threatening continued declines in EV battery costs.
Suriname’s $10.5B Oil Bet Could Match Annual Output in 29 Days by 2028
Suriname’s $10.5B Oil Bet Could Match Annual Output in 29 Days by 2028
2026-06-22
Suriname’s $10.5B GranMorgu project could match annual oil output in 29 days by 2028, testing whether the country can absorb the boom.
Why Fed Cuts Aren't Pulling 10-Year Treasury Yields Down
Why Fed Cuts Aren't Pulling 10-Year Treasury Yields Down
2026-06-19
Fed cuts may not pull 10-year Treasury yields lower when term premium rises, shaping the dollar, gold, equities, EM FX, credit, and trader watchlists.
What Would Show the AI Rally is Losing Strength
What Would Show the AI Rally is Losing Strength
2026-06-18
Burry’s AI warning is not a sell signal. It shows why traders should watch data reactions, chip leadership, breadth and earnings as the rally matures.
Fed interest rate decision June 2026 - Previous: 3.75% Forecast: 3.75%
Fed interest rate decision June 2026 - Previous: 3.75% Forecast: 3.75%
2026-06-17
Fed's June meeting is expected to keep rates steady as new Chair Kevin Warsh faces inflation and employment challenges, limiting near-term cuts.
Argentina, Bolivia and Venezuela Carry a 21x Inflation Burden for 13% of Latin Americans
Argentina, Bolivia and Venezuela Carry a 21x Inflation Burden for 13% of Latin Americans
2026-06-15
Argentina, Bolivia and Venezuela hold 13% of Latin Americans but carry a 21x inflation burden, exposing a concentrated credibility crisis.
4 Markets to Watch as the Yield Curve Turns Positive
4 Markets to Watch as the Yield Curve Turns Positive
2026-06-12
A positive yield curve can mean Fed cuts or long-end pressure. Here are four markets traders can watch for clues: the dollar, gold, US indices and EM FX.
Why Gold Can Fall Even as Central Banks Keep Buying
Why Gold Can Fall Even as Central Banks Keep Buying
2026-06-11
Goldman expects central banks to keep buying gold, but traders still need to watch the US dollar, real yields, ETF flows, and cash-driven selling risk.
U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May 2026 -  Previous: 3.8% Forecast: 4.2%
U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May 2026 -  Previous: 3.8% Forecast: 4.2%
2026-06-10
US inflation stayed high, with CPI expected at 4.2%. Rising fuel costs and slowing wage gains continued to squeeze households and influence voter sentiment.