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The Next Bank Run Starts in a Crypto Wallet and Ends in the US Treasury Market
The Next Bank Run Starts in a Crypto Wallet and Ends in the US Treasury Market
2026-07-14
Tether holds $141 billion in US Treasuries, more than Germany. BIS finds stablecoin outflows move bill yields 3 times harder than inflows.
The Lithium Triangle Holds 43% of Lithium Resources. 2028 Could Expose Its Output Gap
The Lithium Triangle Holds 43% of Lithium Resources. 2028 Could Expose Its Output Gap
2026-07-08
The Lithium Triangle holds 43% of lithium resources but only 27% of 2025 output. A 2028 supply test may expose the gap.
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Employment for June 2026 - Previous: 172k Forecast: 110k
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Employment for June 2026 - Previous: 172k Forecast: 110k
2026-07-02
US NFP rose 172K, beating forecasts and signaling stronger US labour market momentum, though weaker sentiment and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
U.S. ADP Employment Report for June 2026 - Previous: 122k Forecast: 118k
U.S. ADP Employment Report for June 2026 - Previous: 122k Forecast: 118k
2026-07-01
US ADP May payrolls rose 122,000, above forecasts, marking the strongest gain since Jan 2025 and showing broad-based labor market resilience.
Indonesia's Manufacturing Fell to 19% of GDP. Its Middle Class Shrank With It.
Indonesia's Manufacturing Fell to 19% of GDP. Its Middle Class Shrank With It.
2026-06-30
Indonesia’s middle class fell to 47.9 million as manufacturing dropped to 19% of GDP. Downstreaming generates one job per $262,000 invested.
The G7 Can Mine Rare Earths, But 85% of the Supply Chain Disappears Before Magnets
The G7 Can Mine Rare Earths, But 85% of the Supply Chain Disappears Before Magnets
2026-06-29
G7 rare earths face an 85% supply-chain drop before magnets, exposing the real bottleneck in refining, alloying and magnet-making.
The Iran War Drained the World's Oil Reserves to a 40-Year Low
The Iran War Drained the World's Oil Reserves to a 40-Year Low
2026-06-29
IEA oil reserves fell from 4.1 billion barrels in 2004 to 1.8 billion by 2026. Refilling the drained buffer is a three-year claim on supply.
Why Is Silver Price Dropping While Its Deficit Hit a Record
Why Is Silver Price Dropping While Its Deficit Hit a Record
2026-06-26
Silver fell near $56, about 47% below its $121 January high, even as the 2026 supply deficit widened to a sixth year, 46.3M ounces.
U.S. Core PCE Price Index May 2026 - Previous: 3.3% Forecast: 3.4%
U.S. Core PCE Price Index May 2026 - Previous: 3.3% Forecast: 3.4%
2026-06-25
US May core PCE rose 3.3% YoY in line with forecasts. Inflation shows signs of easing, while real income fell for a third month and savings hit a four-year low.
Gold & Tech Have a Bond Market Problem
Gold & Tech Have a Bond Market Problem
2026-06-24
Real yields are testing gold and large-cap tech differently, as gold relies on demand support while tech depends on earnings and AI spending to hold up.
Lithium’s 84% Crash Erased the Mine Pipeline the Energy Transition Depends On
Lithium’s 84% Crash Erased the Mine Pipeline the Energy Transition Depends On
2026-06-22
Lithium prices fell 84%, eliminating mine investment. Wood Mackenzie forecasts a supply deficit by 2028, threatening continued declines in EV battery costs.
Suriname’s $10.5B Oil Bet Could Match Annual Output in 29 Days by 2028
Suriname’s $10.5B Oil Bet Could Match Annual Output in 29 Days by 2028
2026-06-22
Suriname’s $10.5B GranMorgu project could match annual oil output in 29 days by 2028, testing whether the country can absorb the boom.
Why Fed Cuts Aren't Pulling 10-Year Treasury Yields Down
Why Fed Cuts Aren't Pulling 10-Year Treasury Yields Down
2026-06-19
Fed cuts may not pull 10-year Treasury yields lower when term premium rises, shaping the dollar, gold, equities, EM FX, credit, and trader watchlists.
What Would Show the AI Rally is Losing Strength
What Would Show the AI Rally is Losing Strength
2026-06-18
Burry’s AI warning is not a sell signal. It shows why traders should watch data reactions, chip leadership, breadth and earnings as the rally matures.
Fed interest rate decision June 2026 - Previous: 3.75% Forecast: 3.75%
Fed interest rate decision June 2026 - Previous: 3.75% Forecast: 3.75%
2026-06-17
Fed's June meeting is expected to keep rates steady as new Chair Kevin Warsh faces inflation and employment challenges, limiting near-term cuts.