Summary:
Global markets took on a tentative tone on Monday as investors struggled to gauge the impact of the weekend’s short-lived armed revolt in Russia and continued to contemplate a general weakening economic outlook.
Global markets took on a tentative tone on Monday as investors struggled to
gauge the impact of the weekend’s short-lived armed revolt in Russia and
continued to contemplate a general weakening economic outlook.
The dollar gained against the Russian rouble but backed down from a 15-year high, while the yen posted modest gains.
Oil moved higher as political turmoil in Russia stoked concerns over supply disruption. Gold inched off from the three-month low as geopolitical reverberations from Russia outweighed Fed hawkishness.
Commodities
Both Brent and WTI prices fell by about 3.6% last week on worries that further interest rate hikes by the Fed could sap oil demand at a time when China's economic recovery has also disappointed investors.
‘There's not much geopolitical impact on the market now. It is dominated by economics, not geopolitics,’ Daniel Yergin, vice chairman of S&P Global, said on the sidelines of an industry event on Monday.
Forex
German business morale worsened for the second consecutive month in June, hitting its lowest level since the end of 2022. That means Europe's largest economy is facing an uphill battle to shake off recession.
The Turkish lira touched a record low against the dollar after the central bank loosened regulations aimed at keeping customers from holding dollar deposits.
Japan is not ruling out any options in responding appropriately to excessive currency moves, its top currency diplomat said, currencies should move in a stable way.
The yen weakened beyond 143 yen on Friday, a seven-month low versus the dollar, and fell to a 15-year low beyond 155 yen to the euro.
Trump's policies led to US stock outflows, and the dollar's decline widened the asset gap. Emerging markets may attract capital inflows.
2025-04-30
Inflation did not slow down in February, with core PCE up 2.8% year-on-year. Goods prices rose 0.2%, led by entertainment goods and automobile prices.
2025-04-30
Private sector added 155,000 jobs in March, with wages up 4.6%, easing concerns about a labor market and economic slowdown.
2025-04-30
