The Euro Traded Close to the August High

2024-09-25
Summary:

The dollar weakened as China's stimulus lifted risk appetite and expectations grew for a significant US rate cut in November.

EBC Forex Snapshot, 25 Sep 2024


The dollar came under pressure on Wednesday after China's aggressive stimulus moves buoyed risk appetite, with growing bets of another outsized US rate cut in November adding to headwinds for the greenback.


Markets are now pricing in a 59.5% chance of a 50-bp rate cut at the Fed's next policy meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Data showed US consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in September.

EURUSD

The euro traded close to the August high. The German economy will recover as high inflation and interest rates fade, but the country still needs major reforms, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said.

Citibank vs. HSBC Currency Pair Data Comparison

Citi (as of 16 Sep) HSBC (as of 25 Sep)

Support Resistance Support Resistance
EUR/USD 1.0857 1.1202 1.1056 1.1248
GBP/USD 1.2812 1.3266 1.3131 1.3561
USD/CHF 0.8375 0.8763 0.8355 0.8530
AUD/USD 0.6618 0.6871 0.6705 0.6993
USD/CAD 1.3441 1.3792 1.3350 1.3579
USD/JPY 140.25 147.13 140.29 145.51

The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

The Yen Stabilized Mid-Range Last Month

The Yen Stabilized Mid-Range Last Month

The US dollar rallied Tuesday as Fed Chair Powell rejected expectations for large rate cuts, while the yen steadied mid-range.

2024-10-01
China Yet Supports Commodity Currencies on Monday

China Yet Supports Commodity Currencies on Monday

On September 30, 2024, China's stimulus supported commodity currencies, pressuring the dollar as core inflation eased to a near three-year low.

2024-09-30
Dollar Set to Record 3rd Straight Month of Decline

Dollar Set to Record 3rd Straight Month of Decline

The dollar wobbled on Friday, heading for a third month of declines as investors assessed Fed policy, while China's stimulus boosted risk currencies.

2024-09-27