Summary:
Global stock indexes fell and the dollar index inched up on Tuesday as investors weighed the U.S. interest rate outlook ahead of FedChair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony.
Global stock indexes fell and the dollar index inched up on Tuesday as investors weighed the U.S. interest rate outlook ahead of FedChair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony.
Gold retreated on strong U.S. housing starts data and a firmer dollar. Oil eased in choppy trading on forecasts for slower oil demand growth.
U.S. Treasury yields fell, in line with declines in Europe. Investors also were digesting China's move to cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months.
Commodities
Adding to the bearish market sentiment, traders noted crude supplies from Iran and Russia have increased in recent weeks.
The price drop, however, was limited by expectations that oil demand will grow in China and India in the second half of the year.
‘Oil locked in on anything and everything that has to do with China. This week, energy traders are seeing oil weakness emerge on disappointing stimulus efforts,’ said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at data and analytics firm OANDA.
Commerzbank analysts lowered their gold price estimate for the second half of 2023 by $50 to $2,000 per ounce, seeing another rate hike by the Fed in July and no rate cuts until the second quarter next year.
Forex
The Australian dollar fell after minutes from its latest central bank meeting showed keeping interest rates unchanged had been under consideration, while Sweden's crown slipped to a record low against the euro.
U.S. single-family homebuilding jumped in May to its highest in more than a year and permits issued for future construction also climbed, suggesting the housing market may be turning a corner after getting clobbered by Fed interest rate hikes.
Trump's policies led to US stock outflows, and the dollar's decline widened the asset gap. Emerging markets may attract capital inflows.
2025-04-30
Private sector added 155,000 jobs in March, with wages up 4.6%, easing concerns about a labor market and economic slowdown.
2025-04-30
Inflation did not slow down in February, with core PCE up 2.8% year-on-year. Goods prices rose 0.2%, led by entertainment goods and automobile prices.
2025-04-30
