NFP - The Federal Reserve's rate cut may be delayed

2025-07-03
Summary:

Due to the uncertainty of U.S. tariffs, May job growth slowed, and steady wage growth may delay the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.

Jun NFP


3/7/2025


Previous:139k  Forecast: 110k


US job growth slowed in May amid uncertainty about US tariffs, but solid wage growth should keep the economic expansion on track and potentially allow the Fed to delay resuming its interest rate cuts.


The ebbing labour market momentum was underscored by sharp downward revisions that showed 95,000 fewer jobs were added in March and April than previously estimated over the two-month period.


Federal government payrolls decreased by 22,000 and are down 59,000 since January amid an unprecedented campaign by the White House to drastically reduce the government's footprint.

NFP

Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

EUR to USD Outlook: Resistance at 1.1730 Tests Market Sentiment

EUR to USD Outlook: Resistance at 1.1730 Tests Market Sentiment

Markets watch EUR to USD closely as economic data and geopolitical tensions shape the euro's near-term trajectory.

2025-08-15
​Sterling up on positive Q2 GDP

​Sterling up on positive Q2 GDP

The pound hovered near a three-week high on Friday after stronger-than-expected inflation data led traders to reduce bets on Fed rate cuts.

2025-08-15
Are Asian Stocks Rebounding as Nikkei 225 Rallies Again?

Are Asian Stocks Rebounding as Nikkei 225 Rallies Again?

Asian stocks surge as the Nikkei 225 hits records, Japan's GDP surprises, and stimulus hopes lift China's CSI300. Can the rebound hold amid mixed data?

2025-08-15