FOMC - Inflation exceeds the 2% target

2024-12-18
Summary:

The market expects a Fed rate cut Thursday, with inflation above 2%, softening the rate-cut logic and influencing next year's decisions.

The Fed's Dec meeting


18/12/2024 (Wed)


Previous(Nov): 4.75% Forecast: 4.5%


The Fed is widely expected to cut borrowing costs when it meets Wednesday, and officials could shed light on how recent economic data might affect their decisions on interest rates in the new year.


Rationale for cutting rates has diminished recently in the wake of reports showing inflation has stayed stubbornly above the Fed's goal of a 2% annual rate, while jobs remain relatively plentiful.


Trump's presidency is a wild-card for the Fed to manage its monetary policy. Tariffs that in particular could change where inflation will be headed is expected to get in the way of gradual easing.

The Fed's Dec meeting

Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

​European stocks hit fresh peak on earnings

​European stocks hit fresh peak on earnings

The DAX 40 hit a record high on Thursday, boosted by strong Siemens earnings and optimism over a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal.

2025-02-14
​Little can stop euro parity now

​Little can stop euro parity now

A Reuters poll shows a third of strategists expect the euro to reach parity with the dollar, falling to 1.03, amid Trump's tariffs.

2025-02-13
​Oil prices extend losses on possible peace deal

​Oil prices extend losses on possible peace deal

Oil prices fell on hopes a Ukraine-Russia peace deal would end sanctions, with Trump's tariff plan adding to the negative sentiment.

2025-02-13