The yen dropped its fourth week against the dollar

2024-02-23
Summary:

Yen eyes a fourth weekly drop vs. the dollar as investors seek higher yields. Weakest G10 currency in 2024, with fewer rate cuts expected elsewhere.

EBC Forex Snapshot, 23 Feb 2024


The yen headed for a fourth weekly drop against the dollar on Friday as investors chased higher yields. It has been the worst performing G10 currency this year as less rate cuts are now priced in elsewhere.


Goldman Sachs no longer expects a Fed’s interest rate cut in May and see four 25-bp cuts this year after Governor Christopher Waller said he need to see a few more months of data to affirm price stability.

USDJPY

Positioning data shows yen shorts jumped last week. At the two-year tenor, the gap in yield between Japanese and US government bonds is more than 450 bps, which prompts carry trades funded by the currency.

Citibank vs. HSBC Currency Pair Data Comparison

Citi (as of 5 Feb) HSBC (as of 23 Feb)

support resistance support resistance
EUR/USD 1.0724 1.1139 1.0715 1.0910
GBP/USD 1.2487 1.2827 1.2554 1.2736
USD/CHF 0.8333 0.8728 0.8696 0.8895
AUD/USD 0.6500 0.6900 0.6464 0.6618
USD/CAD 1.3379 1.3552 1.3399 1.3574
USD/JPY 146.09 148.80 148.46 151.72

The green numbers in the table indicate that the data has increased compared with the previous time; the red numbers indicate that the data has decreased compared with the previous time; and the black numbers indicate that the data has remained unchanged.


Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

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