Can foreign exchange shortfalls be covered?
2023-07-11
Summary:
The short jump in the foreign exchange market refers to the price gap that occurs between the closing price of the previous trading day and the opening price of the same day.
The short jump in the foreign exchange market refers to the price gap that occurs between the closing price of the previous trading day and the opening price of the same day. Short jumps usually occur when there is significant news in the market, economic data is released, or other market sentiment fluctuates violently. Jumping can be divided into upward and downward jumps.
The foreign exchange short covering theory is a market technical analysis theory used to predict the potential for short covering in the foreign exchange market.
According to this theory, there is a high probability that the market will try to cover the short-selling area, that is, fill the price gap between the closing price of the previous trading day and the opening price of the same day. This is because the jump zone represents a sudden change in market sentiment and fund supply and demand. Once market sentiment subsides or funds re-enter the market, prices often return to fill this price gap.
The theory of short covering suggests that the market's tendency to cover short areas is due to the market's pursuit of balance and stability. Replenishing short-selling areas helps eliminate price gaps and restore market equilibrium. However, this replenishment is not an inevitable phenomenon but a trend and a probability prediction.
According to the theory of bouncing back, there are several possible situations that can occur:
1. Partial compensation
Sometimes, foreign exchange prices may cover some of the short-selling areas for a period of time. In this case, the price may return to the short range and fill the price gap. This is usually because market sentiment has calmed down or there is more willingness to buy and sell in the market.
2. Complete replenishment
In some cases, foreign exchange prices may completely fill the gap, i.e., the price fills the complete price gap again. This usually requires strong market dynamics and trends to achieve.
3. No compensation
Sometimes, foreign exchange prices may not cover the short-selling area but continue to move in the direction of the short-selling. This may be due to continuous changes in market sentiment or the impact of major events.
Jumping back is not an inevitable phenomenon. The prices of the foreign exchange market are driven by various factors, and the operation of the market is dynamic and changing. Therefore, investors should comprehensively consider other technical indicators, Market trends, and the overall market environment when analyzing and making decisions. In addition, due to the high risk of short selling, investors need to take appropriate risk management measures, such as setting stop-loss positions and reasonable position control, to prevent potential losses.
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