Summary:
The S&P Global US Composite PMI rose to 53.5 in April 2023, up from 52.3 in the previous month, to signal the quickest upturn in business activity since May 2022.
The U.S. figures released on Friday somewhat defy recession fears, pulling
gold prices down 1.4% and underpinning the dollar.
The S&P Global US Composite PMI rose to 53.5 in April 2023, up from 52.3 in the previous month, to signal the quickest upturn in business activity since May 2022.
That only adds to economic uncertainty, so investors now have more doubts whether a 25bp hike in May will mark the end of tightening cycle.
As Fed officials signaled refusal to throw in the towel, gold recorded its worst weekly performance in eight weeks.
Oil steadied after plunging by 2% as investors weighed mixed data. Indian refiners' Crude Oil processing stayed near record peaks in March, similar to what was happening in China.
U.S. energy firms this week added oil and natural gas rigs for the first time in four weeks, energy services firm Baker Hughes.
However, crude oil production in the Permian will rise to a record 5.693m barrels per day in May, according to EIA.
The dollar saw its first weekly gain in two months though China and Europe’s improving data capped its rally.
Eurozone aggregate PMI data from S&P came in higher than expected in April (54.4 vs. 53.7), led by increased activity in the services sector.
Japan's consumer prices rose 3.1 percent in March, matching last month's figure and roughly in line with expectations, which may prompt the BOJ to consider acting.
But it is unlikely that Ueda, on his debut, will bin Kuroda’s super-loose policy this week given his cautious tone earlier this month.
The dollar struggled on Tuesday due to a new 100% tariff on films made outside the US, while the Australian dollar rose to a five-month high.
2025-05-06
Oil prices fell over \$2 in early Asian trade Monday as OPEC+ plans faster output hikes despite weak signs of strong market fundamentals.
2025-05-05
Trump's policies led to US stock outflows, and the dollar's decline widened the asset gap. Emerging markets may attract capital inflows.
2025-04-30
