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The FOMC will likely deliver its third consecutive quarter of a percentage point rate increase and continue to allow assets to roll off of its nearly $8.6 trillion balance sheet in its year-long campaign to get inflation under control without sending the U.S. economy into a recession.
The central question facing the Fed is what to do with interest rates at a time when the current economic data shows continued strength and inflation well above the Fed’s target, but stresses in the banking system threaten to derail growth. Traders are pricing in a quarter-point hike in January, according to the CME tool.