Crucial for successful investments: grasp market trends. In forex, analyze trends via cycles, expectations, factors, and technical tools.
No matter what financial product you invest in, you must have an understanding of its market trends. Only by having a thorough understanding of the market can you make the correct investment decisions and reap benefits. So, how do we judge market trends? Below, we will take the analysis and judgment of foreign exchange trends as an example to provide a detailed introduction for everyone.
The trend judgment of the foreign exchange market mainly depends on the understanding of foreign exchange speculators on the foreign exchange market. We can analyze the trend judgment of the foreign exchange market from four aspects.
Firstly, the issue of periodicity
The issue of cycles is a problem that exists in every market. For example, the interest cycle of the central bank has a significant impact on the asset market. If you seize their interest cycle, there is a greater chance of making profits in the asset market. There are also cycles in the foreign exchange market. The change in real interest rates in the United States is one of the most significant factors affecting the US dollar cycle. In the short term, there are also cycles. However, the factors that affect short-term cycles are different each time.
The market itself is a tool for digesting expectations. For example, the market expects that after the cycle of interest rate hikes in the United States has passed, a new cycle will begin. At that time, it was not until then that we knew what factors the market was developing around. A shorter cycle depends on the impact of certain news. For example, data, sudden political or economic events—that is, the cycle of speculation news Each cycle, whether short, medium, or long, has its own focus and protagonist.
As traders, the problem we need to solve is how to timely identify changes in the cycle, changes in focus, and protagonists, and how to adopt the correct investment strategy during that cycle in the future. Because the activity capacity of each currency varies during each cycle, a certain degree of real-life experience is required.
Secondly, the market itself is a tool for digesting expectations
For example, to explain to everyone, the market expects a new cycle of interest rate hikes in the United States to begin after it has passed, and the factors that affect market development will not be known until then. In the foreign exchange market, speculators generally view sudden political events as a cycle of speculation, and their top priority is to identify cyclical changes and adopt the correct investment strategies during that cycle.
Thirdly, the formation factors of foreign exchange market trends
In fact, the factors that form the trend of the foreign exchange market are all the same, with the only difference being risk control and entry timing. If the margin leverage ratio of foreign exchange speculators is high, it is necessary to achieve extremely high accuracy when entering the market. Once profits are made, it is necessary to quickly distinguish the long-term trend.
Fourth, Technical Analysis Methods
Technical analysis methods play an important role in predicting short-term or ultra-short-term foreign exchange trends. There are many technical indicators for foreign exchange technology analysis, such as RSI, MACD, moving average, etc. Traders can use these technical indicators to analyze and judge future foreign exchange trends.
The battle in the short-term foreign exchange market, like the military on the battlefield, requires special attention to discipline. Each step in each response plan is part of the overall deployment strategy and should not be changed immediately. All modifications must be planned in advance and implemented when necessary.
Before the opening of each day, traders should study short-term exchange rate trends and evaluate the impact of changes in the foreign exchange market at night on the morning foreign exchange market. The market trends on the daily chart show the main trends to pay attention to when entering the market. When the direction enters the market, one can be bold, take positions step by step, and leave the market calmly. When entering the market in the opposite direction, converge appropriately and hold positions cautiously. The risk of shorting the market is high, and every trader should be aware of this.
Trends are full of uncertainty, and sometimes a small mistake can lead to a complete loss. Therefore, foreign exchange speculators must be careful, patient, and maintain a calm mind when judging trends.
Disclaimer: Investment involves risk. The content of this article is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product.